>Signing Day

>For college football knuckleheads, Signing Day is like Christmas.  And that’s been seen by not only the  around the clock coverage on things like ESPN, but also sites like rivals and scout, which rank the players starting in their freshman years of high school.  Now I admit, I look at those sites constantly, so I’m not really one to talk but giving out these “stars” is ridiculous.

The stars and rankings given to these kids are what going to ruin the high school sports world, if it hasn’t already.  But what is truly sad about it all, is whether it is the kids, the “experts,”, coaches or PARENTS that are doing the “pimping out” of the student-athletes. 

To be on one of those sites, someone needs to send in a video of the athlete, so he can be “evaluated” and then given a ranking or star.  A five-star ranking means you are one of the top kids in the nation, a three-star means you are pretty much an average player, while anything lower usually means you are a fringe player.  If a parent or athlete sees they are “only” s three-star and want to get better scholarship offers, which might mean doing anything going from extra lessons from professionals to possibly doing steroids.  The extra push, however, can also burn out the kid. 

The one thing the coaches, parents or kids seem not to realize is that all these stars, rankings and such are all other people’s OPINIONS.  There are time where the different sites disagree with how good of a kid is.  I’ll give you the example of Missouri, since it’s my alma mater and a school that has been known for getting lesser rated kids and getting them to play better than those rankings.  Let’s look at the Tigers’ last three first round draft picks, Jeremy Maclin, Sean Weatherspoon and Ziggy Hood.  Sean Weatherspoon came to Mizzou as a two-star safety prospect and left as the third-highest tackler in school history with 413 tackles and a two-time All-American.  Maclin was the highest rated of the three, garnering four stars from rivals and three from scout, but was rated the 70th best wideout by scout.  All he did was leave as the school’s all-time leader in all-purpose yards, third in career receiving yards and fourth in career receptions.  All in two years.  Hood is now a starter on the Super Bowl-bound Pittsburgh Steelers.

Of the 62 athletes that were given five stars by scout, 11 made it to the NFL or lived up to expectations. That’s 17 percent.  Now that may seem a lot, but let’s not forget these were cream of the crop kids who people expect to come in and have a big effect on their teams.  Well that wasn’t the case for 52 of them.  In a smaller sample size of 26 five stars, the 2006 class also had 11 players that made an impact of play(ed) in the NFL.

Now don’t get me wrong, I truly appreciate and respect what all of the analysts who go out all across the country all year.  But my problem is that everyone takes too much stock into these stinking rankings.  Sure, most of the time it turns out to be right, as you see the Alabama’s USC’s, Florida’s, etc. always getting top classes and succeeding.  But what about the schools like TCU or Boise State and up to this year, Oregon?  The rankings are good and all, but they’re mainly there to make all the fans and those associated with the program go crazy.  As long as a school gets players they need, that fit their system and those who they feel are perfect for the, who says they won’t succeed?

>Fiesta Bowl

>Oklahoma vs. Connecticut

  
   The Huskies could not have gotten a bigger challenge for their first appearance on college football’s biggest stage than facing the powerful Sooners on Saturday night at Glendale, Ariz.

   Connecticut’s path to Arizona began in 1997, when the school voted to accept the invite from the Big East Conference and upgrade from a I-AA program.

   The 25th-ranked Huskies (8-4) then joined the Big East for the 2004 season — one year early — after the Atlantic Coast Conference poached Miami and Virginia Tech in 2003. They earned their first bowl appearance that year, and the Fiesta Bowl will be their fourth consecutive postseason game.

   Oklahoma (11-2) is making its 12th bowl appearance in as many seasons under coach Bob Stoops and 44th overall. Its 25 victories are tied for fifth all-time, and the eighth BCS bowl appearance trails only Ohio State’s nine.  Unfiortunately, they have lost five consecutive BCS games — two for the national championship — since winning the 2003 Rose Bowl. Two other defeats, the 2007 and 2008 Fiesta Bowls, came when the Sooners were heavy favorites before losing to Boise State and West Virginia, respectively.

   If the Huskies have any hope in winning, their fate will ride on the legs of two-time 1,000-yard rusher Jordan Todman. The tailback had 1,574 yards and 14 TDs to earn Big East offensive player of the year honors and is second in the nation at 143.1 yards per game.

    With the Sooners likely to stack the box in an attempt to slow Todman, there will be pressure on Zach Frazer to keep Oklahoma’s defense honest. The senior, though, topped 200 yards just once this season and completed only 52.7 percent of his 222 passes for 1,202 yards and five TDs.

   The Sooners are fourth among FBS teams in passing at 336.8 yards per game, 13th in total offense (478.1 ypg) and 17th in scoring (36.4 points per game).

   Landry Jones threw for 4,289 yards and 35 touchdowns, with receiver Ryan Broyles posting his second straight 1,000-yard season. He finished with career highs of 118 receptions and 1,452 yards to go with 13 touchdowns and is Oklahoma’s all-time leader in receptions, receiving yards and receiving TDs.

   Five players had at least 26 receptions for the Sooners, and running back DeMarco Murray is one of them. He had 1,121 rushing yards and 14 TDs to go with 69 receptions, 595 yards and five receiving scores.

 Prediction:  As much as I would love to see the Huskies pull the upset, I really don’t see them having the horses to do so.  Oklahoma 31-10

>Rose Bowl

>TCU vs. Wisconsin

  
   TCU didn’t get to prove it deserved to play for the BCS title. A victory over Wisconsin in the Granddaddy of Them All could go a long way toward showing that it should have.

   The third-ranked Horned Frogs, owners of the nation’s top defense, face a No. 4 Badgers team that reached the 70-point mark three times this season in the 97th Rose Bowl on New Year’s Day.

   The Frogs, who went undefeated for the second straight regular season, will make their first appearance in perhaps the most prestigious and storied bowl in college football.  TCU gets to play in Pasadena over a Pac-10 team — the traditional selection to face the Big Ten representative — because the Rose Bowl was obligated this year to select a team from a non-automatic BCS qualifying conference if one was eligible and not playing in the title game.

   TCU is allowing averages of 11.4 points, 126.3 passing yards and 215.4 total yards — all tops in the FBS — and 89.2 rushing yards, third-fewest in the country. The Frogs’ speedy defense, though, should receive its biggest test of the season from the Badgers (11-1), who are tied for fourth in the nation with 43.3 points per game — same as TCU.

    Scott Tolzien has passed for 2,300 yards, 16 touchdowns and six interceptions while completing 74.3 percent of his throws — best in the country.
    
   For TCU to keep the Badgers from an eighth straight win — Wisconsin’s seven consecutive victories have come by 26.1 points — it will have to stop a trio of running backs that has piled up nearly 2,900 yards on the ground.  James White (1,029), John Clay (936) and Montee Ball (864) running behind six All-Big Ten offensive linemen proved far too much for opponents to handle.

   TCU QB Andy Dalton is a 41-game winner as a starter. The senior has thrown for 2,638 yards, 26 touchdowns and six interceptions while running for 407 yards and five TDs this season.
Ed Wesley paces the nation’s 12th-ranked rushing attack with 1,065 yards, while Matthew Tucker ran for 694.

   Josh Boyce leads the team in receiving yards with 602 on 33 catches and has six touchdowns, while Jeremy Kerley has 50 catches for 517 yards and 10 scores.  

Prediction: TCU shows it should have gotten a chance to play for the title by shutting down Wisconsin and winning 42-14.

>Capital One Bowl

>Alabama vs. Michigan State

   A share of its first conference championship in 20 years and a school record for wins apparently wasn’t good enough for Michigan State (11-1) earn the program’s first BCS invitation, finishing behind fellow Big Ten champions Ohio State and Wisconsin.  So who better to play to see if you belong up there than last year’s national champ, right?

   Kirk Cousins comes in with some gaudy stats but will have some challenges in this game.  While he has thrown for 2,705 yards and 20 touchdowns.  But five of his nine interceptions have come in the last four games.  Leading receiver B.J. Cunningham is out after breaking his foot in practice Dec. 18.  Cunningham led the team with 50 receptions for 611 yards and nine touchdowns. Michigan State does have other options, though. Mark Dell caught 49 passes for 761 yards, and Keshawn Martin added 29 catches.

   Running back Edwin Baker ranked third in the Big Ten with 1,187 yards, rushed for 6.1 yards per carry and 13 touchdowns.
   
   Alabama will counter with wide receiver and second-team All-American Julio Jones, who set school records with 75 receptions and 1,084 yards this season. Jones caught seven of Greg McElroy’s 19 touchdown passes.  McElroy has thrown for 2,767 yards.

   However, last season’s Heisman Trophy winner Mark Ingram, who missed two games due to injury, has been held to less than 100 yards in eight straight contests after eclipsing that mark nine times in 2009.  He has rushed for just over 800 yards and 11 touchdowns on the season.

Prediction: Alabama 24-21

>Ticket City Bowl

>Northwestern vs. Texas Tech

   Northwestern has lost all seven bowl games it has played since winning its first one — the 1949 Rose Bowl. The Wildcats (7-5) are making their third consecutive postseason appearance despite losing five of seven games after starting 5-0 for the second time in three years.

   The Wildcats will be without All-Big Ten quarterback Dan Persa after he suffered an Achilles’ tendon injury in a victory over Iowa.  So redshirt freshman Evan Watkins, who has started the two games since  Persa went down, will be starting what is probably the biggest game of his young career.  Watkins has thrown for 258 yards, a touchdown and four interceptions in those two games.

   While Watkins will likely target Jeremy Ebert, who led the Big Ten with 919 receiving yards, Northwestern could be without its top three rushers. Leader Mike Trumpy may sit out due to a wrist injury suffered in the Illinois loss, and the Wildcats definitely won’t have Persa or Arby Fields, who led the team in rushing in 2009 but recently decided to transfer.  But if Trumpy has to sit, Northwestern can rely on senior Stephen Simmons, junior Jacob Schmidt and true freshman Adonis Smith. Unfortunately the three have combined for only 419 yards and four touchdowns.  Schmidt has all the touchdowns.

   Quarterback Taylor Potts is a big reason Texas Tech is making its 11th consecutive bowl appearance. He’s completed 65.9 percent of his passes for 3,357 yards with 31 TDs and nine interceptions. The senior has helped Texas Tech rank eighth in the FBS in passing with 314.8 yards per game while averaging 32.1 points, including 99 over its final two games — non-conference victories over Weber State and Houston.
   
   Northwestern also must contend with Potts’ former teammate at Abilene High School, Lyle Leong. The senior has a team-high 808 receiving yards and is second in the FBS with 17 touchdown receptions.  But he isn’t the only big-play threat.  Detron Lewis has a team-best 79 receptions for 803 yards and six scores. Lewis caught 10 passes for 114 yards and a TD in last season’s bowl win.

   While Texas Tech is a pass-first team, this is the 11th straight season it has had a quarterback throw for at least 3,000 yards, it may be running backs Baron Batch and Eric Stephens who are the difference in the game against the Wildcats, who allowed 848 rushing yards and 10 TDs over the last two games.

Prediction:  Watkins struggles against the Red Raiders and Potts leads an  aerial attack that ambushes the Wildcats.  Tech 35-14.

>Alamo Bowl

>Oklahoma State vs. Arizona

  
   Oklahoma State looks to cap a memorable year with a school-record 11th victory in San Antonio’s Alamo Bowl on Wednesday night when it squares off against an Arizona team hoping to salvage a win from a disappointing final two months of the season.

   The 16th-ranked Cowboys (10-2) were picked to finish fifth in the Big 12 South this season, but ended up tying for the division title and setting a school record with 10 regular-season wins.  They are making a school-record fifth straight bowl appearance. 

    The Wildcats seemed like they might be headed to a BCS bowl earlier this year, climbing as high as ninth in the rankings, but four straight losses to close the regular season quickly ended those hopes. Arizona is still appearing in a third consecutive bowl game, matching the school’s previous best string from 1992-94.

   Oklahoma State leads the FBS in total offense at 537.6 yards per game, ranks third in scoring at 44.9 points and boasts three skill position players named to the all-Big 12 first team.

   Justin Blackmon is the conference’s player of the year, the Biletnikoff Award winner and a first-team All-American after leading the nation with 151.4 receiving yards per game and 18 touchdown catches. He needs eight yards against Arizona to break the NCAA sophomore receiving yards record of 1,672, set by Pittsburgh’s Larry Fitzgerald in 2003. Blackmon has tied an NCAA record with 11 straight games of 100 yards receiving with a TD.

   Brandon Weeden was second in the country in yards passing per game (336.4) and fifth in touchdown passes (32). He has also thrown for 4,037 yards.

   Blackmon was joined on the All-American first team by running back Kendall Hunter. The senior is seventh in the nation with 126.3 rushing yards per game and ran for 16 TDs.  He did all this while rushing for 1,516 yards.

   Since the start of November, the Wildcats have allowed an average of 456.0 yards, 20th-worst in the FBS, and an average of 36.0 points, 27th-worst.  This is after a 7-1 start, where they were 10th nationally in points and yards allowed.

  
   While the Wildcats’ defense needs to tighten up, the offense heads into the bowl playing some of its best football.

   Nick Foles has passed for 1,063 yards with nine touchdowns to just one interception in his last three games. He threw for 2,911 and 19 touchdowns the entire season.  The junior leads the Pac-10 in passing with an average of 291.1 yards and his favorite target, first-team all-conference selection Juron Criner, led the league with 73 receptions and 1,186 yards.

Prediction: Oklahoma State 49, Arizona 41

>Military Bowl

>East Carolina vs. Maryland

   This game makes for an interesting case as Maryland coach Ralph Friedgen will no longer be the coach of the Terps after the game.  After winning ACC Coach of the Year in 2010, the Maryland Athletic Department decided to buy out Friedgen.

   Maryland (8-4) is back in a bowl game for the first time since beating Nevada 42-35 in the 2008 Humanitarian Bowl in Boise.  Maryland’s return to the postseason came after the Terps dropped their last seven games of 2009 and finished 2-10.
   
   The Pirates are centered around a passing game that is among the best in the nation, averaging 319.3 yards with 37 touchdowns.

   Dominique Davis shattered team records with 36 TD passes, 3,699 yards and 358 completions — 99 more than the previous mark. The junior, in his first season at East Carolina, connected on 64.9 percent of his throws and had 14 interceptions.

   Davis threw 18 TDs and four picks while posting a 145.2 rating over the last five games.
Receivers Dwayne Harris and Lance Lewis are Davis’ top targets. Harris has a Conference USA-high 93 receptions along with 1,055 yards and 10 touchdowns.  Lewis’ 78 catches are third in the league, and he has a team-best 13 TD receptions and 979 yards.
   
   While East Carolina’s offensive power is clear, the defense has had major problems. The unit is the worst in the country, allowing averages of 43.4 points and 478.8 yards — 220.8 rushing.  The Pirates have given up 54.8 points per game over the last five contests.

   Terps freshman Danny O’Brien is coming off a stellar performance in the season finale, going 33 of 47 for 417 yards and throwing four touchdowns to Torrey Smith. O’Brien has thrown for 2,257 yards, 21 scoring passes and six interceptions.

   Torrey Smith is tied for the ACC lead with 12 TD catches and has 1,045 receiving yards.

Prediction:  East Carolina 49, Maryland 40

>Champs Sports Bowl

>NC State vs. West Virginia

   West Virginia ranks second in the FBS in scoring defense at 12.8 points, second in rush defense at 85.1 yards and third in total defense at 251.3 yards. The squad ended the regular season playing some of its best football, allowing four touchdowns over the last four games.

   The Mountaineers also have a skilled quarterback in Geno Smith, who was second in the Big East with 2,567 passing yards and 23 touchdowns, both second most in school history behind Marc Bulger’s 3,607 yards and 31 TDs in 1998.  Smith threw for a career-best 352 yards in the finale. He has one interception in his last five games.  The running game is led by Noel Devine, who has had a rough senior season, rushing for only 886 yards and six touchdowns, far fewer than what was expected after last season’s nearly 1,500 yard and 14 touchdown season.

  
   That defense will look to stop a North Carolina State offense that was second in the ACC with 32.6 points per game. The unit revolves around Russell Wilson, who led the conference with 3,288 passing yards and 26 touchdowns.

   Wilson, who finished two points shy of Virginia Tech’s Tyrod Taylor for All-ACC first-team honors, had eight 300-yard passing games and attempted 60 passes in the regular-season finale. The junior is also a dangerous runner, rolling up 394 yards and nine touchdowns on the ground.

Prediction: N.C. State 31, West Virginia 27

>Independence Bowl

>Georgia Tech vs. Air Force

   If you like running attacks, this is the game for you.  Georgia Tech and Air Force are the nations No. 1 and 2 teams in terms of rushing, with the Jackets rushing for 327 ypg, while the Falcons rush for 318. The teams combined for 299 pass attempts.

   The Yellow Jackets, however, could be without their most versatile threat. Quarterback Joshua Nesbitt broke his arm against Virginia Tech on Nov. 4 and it’s uncertain if he’ll be ready to play. Sophomore Tevin Washington has filled in, but he hasn’t been as productive.In nine games, Nesbitt, a first-team All-ACC selection last year when the Yellow Jackets won the conference, is second on the team with 737 rushing yards and a team-high 10 touchdowns. He’s also passed for 674 yards and seven scores.  Washington, meanwhile, rushed for 289 yards and three touchdowns while passing for 292 and two scores.

   Luckily for Georgia Tech, running back Anthony Allen has stepped up his game as of late, averaging over 138 ypg the last four games.  He has rushed for 1,225 yards and six scores on the season.  Regardless of who starts at quarterback, the Yellow Jackets will be without leading receiver Stephen Hill, who was one of four players declared academically ineligible. Hill had 15 receptions for 291 yards and three touchdowns.

   Unlike Georgia Tech, Air Force seems to be peaking at the right time. The Falcons have won three in a row by a combined score of 125-65. They closed the regular season with a 35-20 victory at UNLV on Nov. 18.

   Air Force is led in rushing by junior Asher Clark, who ran for 1,001 yards and five touchdowns. Quarterback Tim Jefferson has a team-high 15 rushing touchdowns and 769 yards on the ground.

   The Falcons also could have another threat if Jared Tew is be cleared to play. He suffered a broken fibula against San Diego State on Oct. 16 after rushing for 540 yards and three touchdowns in seven games.

>Little Caesar’s Bowl

>Florida International vs. Toledo

The Rockets return to postseason play for the first time in five years in the Little Caesar’s Pizza Bowl against FIU, which will be making the first bowl appearance in its history.

Toledo, who had lost 16 games over the previous two seasons, improved dramatically this year under second-year coach Tim Beckman. They finished second in the West Division of the Mid-American Conference, and three of their losses were to teams also playing in bowls — Boise State, Northern Illinois and Arizona.

While reaching this bowl is a great reward for Toledo, it’s a remarkable achievement for FIU, which is in just its ninth season of play at any level and sixth year in the FBS. The Golden Panthers’ six wins this season comprise one-fifth of their 30 victories all-time.

The Golden Panthers averaged 38.0 points while winning four of their final five games. Their offense is led by  running backs Darriet Perry (707 yards and 14 TDs in 2010) and Darrian Mallary (669 yards, two TDs). Quarterback Wesley Carroll, completed 61.8 percent of his passes for 2,483 yards with 15 TDs.

Toledo lost starting quarterback Austin Dantin to a shoulder injury during an Oct. 30 victory over Eastern Michigan, but replacement Terrance Owens doesn’t seem to have missed a beat. A redshirt freshman, Owens has thrown 12 touchdown passes and only two interceptions. Owens will look to get the ball to sophomore wideout Eric Page, who had 94 receptions for 1,081 yards and eight TDs this season. The explosive Page also scored three touchdowns on kickoff returns.